Comments on: Looking forward: Part 1

By: Is Unionism Prepared for Change? « The Dissenter

Is Unionism Prepared for Change? « The Dissenter — Fri, 10 Sep 2010 09:31:39 +0000

[...] It also provides thedissenter a useful way to address the second part of post-election review: Part 1 having looked at relative electoral strengths, historical and [...]

By: Editor

Editor — Wed, 14 Jul 2010 19:55:12 +0000

The particular circumstances of events around Peter Robinson in the six months before the election makes it very hard to project forward or predict what will happen in 2011 never mind 2015. The DUP machine is not necessarily as formidable as you suggest. The rise has almost matched that of the decline of the UUP, and the UUP served them many votes on a plate. What failed Robinson in East Belfast was an inability to read the electorate, which to that point had been at the heart of the DUP’s electoral success.

By: Ed

Ed — Wed, 14 Jul 2010 00:41:58 +0000

Interesting and detailed analysis.I’d like your opinion on what I would consider the most suprising and bizarre aspect of the recent election:Long’s win in East Belfast for Alliance.
My question:what do you think are her chances of retaining the seat in 2015 against the formidable DUP election machine?

By: How do we move beyond defence of the Union, to advancing and deepening it? « Open Unionism

Tue, 13 Jul 2010 06:30:26 +0000

[...] does not mean that the Union is under threat: which is not to say that the Union cannot be lost. On The Dissenter there is a longer exercise in looking at the outcomes of the Westminster election and reading the [...]

By: Editor

Editor — Sun, 13 Jun 2010 21:30:48 +0000

Opinion is not the same as fact. People may read your comment and consider your predictions likely to be as accurate as your spelling and grammar.

By: Daithí

Daithí — Sun, 13 Jun 2010 16:01:41 +0000

In an election, each constituency is an enclave. the fact is that in the 2010 election, unionism retreated to just 50% of the seats. A similar outcome is likely in the Assembley elections next year. My prediction is 53 or 54 unionist seats. Unionism has lost its majority; losing its plurality is likely to take 20 or 30 more years. There well may be a United Ireland before then